Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.610250 4.167556 4.780040 5.502818 6.332204 7.253953 8.355949
2025-01-05 2.879347 3.618779 4.500005 5.626556 7.027652 8.712216 10.891219
2025-01-12 2.307587 3.123764 4.167611 5.598190 7.505910 9.960724 13.358847
2025-01-19 1.794921 2.597700 3.691615 5.287238 7.551798 10.647368 15.198603
2025-01-26 1.568912 2.410428 3.623879 5.494917 8.301398 12.348748 18.624913
2025-02-02 1.432819 2.323926 3.676415 5.869146 9.326328 14.557967 23.067961
2025-02-09 1.267087 2.161130 3.584023 6.000506 9.989919 16.300612 27.027277
2025-02-16 1.119109 2.000325 3.466114 6.065142 10.542950 17.922722 30.986577
2025-02-23 0.959229 1.792401 3.237388 5.906073 10.692621 18.891583 33.970370
2025-03-02 0.809573 1.577967 2.964501 5.626051 10.584981 19.394459 36.190031
2025-03-09 0.726897 1.473671 2.871847 5.653862 11.023589 20.890405 40.339209
2025-03-16 0.635578 1.338461 2.702171 5.511163 11.120409 21.767133 43.435199
2025-03-23 0.603104 1.318733 2.756880 5.822093 12.151369 24.554139 50.601685
2025-03-30 0.562301 1.275664 2.759476 6.029385 13.005639 27.107920 57.644652
2025-04-06 0.508326 1.195840 2.675157 6.043896 13.465205 28.931142 63.438538
2025-04-13 0.434977 1.061095 2.454641 5.733613 13.191521 29.211596 66.034262
2025-04-20 0.412243 1.039745 2.480417 5.973553 14.154336 32.220705 74.890655
2025-04-27 0.402993 1.049178 2.577161 6.389057 15.567272 36.374796 86.798239
2025-05-04 0.376973 1.013026 2.561968 6.537416 16.377147 39.273288 96.192381
2025-05-11 0.349169 0.967905 2.518712 6.611024 17.016654 41.853043 105.150832
2025-05-18 0.311514 0.890814 2.385251 6.439840 17.030736 42.958462 110.696312
2025-05-25 0.272107 0.802478 2.210284 6.136113 16.666721 43.099472 113.864149
2025-06-01 0.252105 0.765273 2.164279 6.167004 17.173621 45.453160 122.905610